Despite losing two close games to Vanderbilt and Missouri, Tennessee remains at #2 in the rankings, although the gap between Houston and Tennessee for the number one spot has grown. Other notable results include UConn re-entering the top 5 after a multi-week slide, Texas entering the top 10, and West Virginia falling from #15 to #24 after a blowout loss to Texas.

Data through games of Sunday February 12th, 2023.

Team Conference Ranking Expected Winning Percentage vs. Average Opponent Strength of Schedule Change From Last Week
Houston AAC 1 0.957 0.611 0
Tennessee SEC 2 0.940 0.671 0
UCLA Pac 12 3 0.935 0.699 0
Alabama SEC 4 0.935 0.736 0
UConn Big East 5 0.914 0.672 +2
Saint Mary’s (CA) WCC 6 0.914 0.672 0
Purdue Big 10 7 0.910 0.678 -2
Texas Big 12 8 0.903 0.739 +3
Kansas Big 12 9 0.898 0.775 +1
Rutgers Big 10 10 0.892 0.676 -1
Arizona Pac 12 11 0.891 0.686 -3
Baylor Big 12 12 0.889 0.745 +1
Creighton Big East 13 0.888 0.726 -1
Illinois Big 10 14 0.876 0.661 +3
Iowa St. Big 12 15 0.874 0.718 +3
Marquette Big East 16 0.870 0.672 -2
Indiana Big 10 17 0.868 0.692 +4
Gonzaga WCC 18 0.868 0.707 -2
Virginia ACC 19 0.867 0.662 +4
Kansas St. Big 12 20 0.865 0.716 +4
Arkansas SEC 21 0.864 0.695 +1
San Diego St. MWC 22 0.861 0.718 -2
TCU Big 12 23 0.858 0.678 -4
West Virginia Big 12 24 0.855 0.743 -9
Oklahoma St. Big 12 25 0.851 0.736 +4
Boise St. MWC 26 0.849 0.623 +1
Maryland Big 10 27 0.849 0.685 -2
Auburn SEC 28 0.843 0.693 -2
Xavier Big East 29 0.840 0.714 -1
Michigan St. Big 10 30 0.833 0.769 +12
Iowa Big 10 31 0.830 0.703 +1
Northwestern Big 10 32 0.824 0.686 +15
Mississippi St. SEC 33 0.824 0.657 +8
Ohio St. Big 10 34 0.821 0.701 -4
Utah Pac 12 35 0.821 0.614 +9
Fla. Atlantic C-USA 36 0.820 0.538 -5
Duke ACC 37 0.818 0.668 -4
Texas A&M SEC 38 0.816 0.621 +5
North Carolina ACC 39 0.814 0.689 -1
Oregon Pac 12 40 0.814 0.757 +8
Nevada MWC 41 0.813 0.683 -2
Utah St. MWC 42 0.812 0.669 -7
Providence Big East 43 0.809 0.591 -7
NC State ACC 44 0.807 0.585 +7
Kentucky SEC 45 0.804 0.668 -11
Oral Roberts Summit 46 0.797 0.456 0
Florida SEC 47 0.795 0.702 -10
Memphis AAC 48 0.794 0.618 +4
New Mexico MWC 49 0.792 0.631 -9
Liberty A-Sun 50 0.789 0.471 0
Texas Tech Big 12 51 0.788 0.685 +13
Miami (FL) ACC 52 0.788 0.594 -3
Colorado Pac 12 53 0.787 0.672 0
UCF AAC 54 0.784 0.628 +13
Southern California Pac 12 55 0.783 0.694 -10
North Texas C-USA 56 0.778 0.559 +1
Missouri SEC 57 0.777 0.651 +3
Seton Hall Big East 58 0.777 0.696 -2
Sam Houston WAC 59 0.777 0.542 +3
Michigan Big 10 60 0.776 0.697 +3
Penn St. Big 10 61 0.773 0.688 -6
Cincinnati AAC 62 0.772 0.605 -4
Washington St. Pac 12 63 0.770 0.729 -2
Arizona St. Pac 12 64 0.762 0.650 +1
Virginia Tech ACC 65 0.757 0.621 -11
Pittsburgh ACC 66 0.757 0.581 +4
UAB C-USA 67 0.755 0.541 -1
Oklahoma Big 12 68 0.755 0.769 -9
Bradley MVC 69 0.750 0.470 +13
Wisconsin Big 10 70 0.749 0.715 -2
Yale Ivy 71 0.749 0.414 +3
Kent St. MAC 72 0.748 0.488 -3
Dayton A-10 73 0.746 0.522 +2
Marshall Sunbelt 74 0.734 0.422 -3
Iona MAAC 75 0.733 0.449 +2
Villanova Big East 76 0.727 0.679 +7
UNLV MWC 77 0.724 0.623 +1
BYU WCC 78 0.724 0.633 -6
Wake Forest ACC 79 0.721 0.619 -3
Col. of Charleston CAA 80 0.719 0.405 +1
VCU A-10 81 0.719 0.534 -8
Southern Miss. Sunbelt 82 0.714 0.451 -3
Utah Valley WAC 83 0.712 0.543 +1
Drake MVC 84 0.710 0.458 +5
Clemson ACC 85 0.706 0.560 -5
James Madison Sunbelt 86 0.697 0.432 -1
Vanderbilt SEC 87 0.694 0.719 +6
Tulane AAC 88 0.693 0.542 0
Stanford Pac 12 89 0.691 0.656 +7
UC Irvine Big West 90 0.689 0.496 -3
Santa Clara WCC 91 0.688 0.653 -5
Furman Southern 92 0.686 0.417 +5
LMU (CA) WCC 93 0.678 0.621 -1
St. John’s (NY) Big East 94 0.670 0.628 0
Indiana St. MVC 95 0.668 0.400 +9
Syracuse ACC 96 0.666 0.563 -5
Butler Big East 97 0.651 0.708 +17
Washington Pac 12 98 0.650 0.710 +3
UC Santa Barbara Big West 99 0.648 0.401 +6
Nebraska Big 10 100 0.647 0.730 -1
San Francisco WCC 101 0.645 0.574 -6
Hofstra CAA 102 0.644 0.455 +5
San Jose St. MWC 103 0.643 0.607 -1
Colorado St. MWC 104 0.638 0.646 +16
Akron MAC 105 0.636 0.484 -15
Ole Miss SEC 106 0.634 0.677 0
Southern Utah WAC 107 0.634 0.571 +1
Charlotte C-USA 108 0.634 0.495 -8
Grand Canyon WAC 109 0.632 0.553 0
Toledo MAC 110 0.629 0.434 +5
Saint Louis A-10 111 0.628 0.570 -13
Duquesne A-10 112 0.627 0.504 +7
Temple AAC 113 0.626 0.635 +4
Louisiana Sunbelt 114 0.623 0.483 -11
Montana St. Big Sky 115 0.614 0.478 -4
Wichita St. AAC 116 0.605 0.570 0
Princeton Ivy 117 0.603 0.394 -7
UNC Greensboro Southern 118 0.603 0.450 +5
SFA WAC 119 0.603 0.508 +2
Middle Tenn. C-USA 120 0.600 0.549 -8
Georgia SEC 121 0.596 0.585 +1
Cornell Ivy 122 0.594 0.422 -4
Colgate Patriot 123 0.592 0.344 +7
Youngstown St. Horizon 124 0.586 0.351 0
Seattle U WAC 125 0.584 0.519 +1
Troy Sunbelt 126 0.578 0.493 +6
Southern Ill. MVC 127 0.577 0.459 -14
Louisiana Tech C-USA 128 0.576 0.538 0
Hawaii Big West 129 0.573 0.441 -4
Belmont MVC 130 0.572 0.457 +1
Eastern Wash. Big Sky 131 0.572 0.451 -2
LSU SEC 132 0.570 0.686 -5
Cal St. Fullerton Big West 133 0.558 0.516 +10
Vermont Am. East 134 0.557 0.468 +10
Long Beach St. Big West 135 0.550 0.518 +3
South Alabama Sunbelt 136 0.545 0.506 +15
Davidson A-10 137 0.544 0.538 -1
Ball St. MAC 138 0.543 0.412 +18
Fordham A-10 139 0.540 0.417 +11
Air Force MWC 140 0.539 0.545 +7
Portland WCC 141 0.537 0.617 +4
Samford Southern 142 0.537 0.388 -8
Missouri St. MVC 143 0.535 0.500 -2
Rice C-USA 144 0.535 0.540 +11
Kennesaw St. A-Sun 145 0.532 0.441 -8
South Fla. AAC 146 0.530 0.557 -11
UC Davis Big West 147 0.529 0.461 -5
DePaul Big East 148 0.529 0.681 -2
Ohio MAC 149 0.529 0.463 +5
Richmond A-10 150 0.528 0.487 -10
Longwood Big South 151 0.524 0.333 +6
George Mason A-10 152 0.523 0.499 -13
Radford Big South 153 0.523 0.399 0
Pepperdine WCC 154 0.518 0.629 +7
Fresno St. MWC 155 0.518 0.640 +14
Penn Ivy 156 0.514 0.458 +14
UMass Lowell Am. East 157 0.513 0.273 -5
Towson CAA 158 0.511 0.359 -10
Quinnipiac MAAC 159 0.509 0.376 -26
UC Riverside Big West 160 0.509 0.506 -1
Gardner-Webb Big South 161 0.507 0.401 +11
Montana Big Sky 162 0.506 0.481 +17
Wyoming MWC 163 0.506 0.649 0
California Baptist WAC 164 0.506 0.470 -6
Western Ky. C-USA 165 0.502 0.502 -3
New Mexico St. WAC 166 0.499 0.604 -1
Old Dominion Sunbelt 167 0.497 0.478 +4
Utah Tech WAC 168 0.495 0.554 -2
UTEP C-USA 169 0.493 0.544 -2
St. Bonaventure A-10 170 0.489 0.489 -10
UNCW CAA 171 0.489 0.402 -22
FGCU A-Sun 172 0.485 0.443 +11
Siena MAAC 173 0.484 0.366 -5
Stetson A-Sun 174 0.484 0.458 -10
Tarleton St. WAC 175 0.483 0.560 +19
Bryant Am. East 176 0.479 0.393 +12
UNC Asheville Big South 177 0.477 0.387 +3
Brown Ivy 178 0.477 0.424 +21
Pacific WCC 179 0.476 0.525 +5
Harvard Ivy 180 0.476 0.475 -3
Buffalo MAC 181 0.475 0.555 -8
Chattanooga Southern 182 0.472 0.439 +15
Lipscomb A-Sun 183 0.472 0.399 -7
Eastern Ky. A-Sun 184 0.471 0.502 +5
South Dakota St. Summit 185 0.471 0.500 -10
Wright St. Horizon 186 0.471 0.345 +10
Northwestern St. Southland 187 0.470 0.373 -2
N.C. Central MEAC 188 0.468 0.444 +13
App State Sunbelt 189 0.467 0.499 -8
Saint Joseph’s A-10 190 0.467 0.460 +16
SMU AAC 191 0.467 0.616 +9
Notre Dame ACC 192 0.466 0.566 -2
Cleveland St. Horizon 193 0.463 0.376 -7
Florida St. ACC 194 0.462 0.649 -2
St. Thomas (MN) Summit 195 0.462 0.394 +18
Rider MAAC 196 0.461 0.376 -18
Massachusetts A-10 197 0.459 0.500 -23
Norfolk St. MEAC 198 0.458 0.400 -11
Georgia Tech ACC 199 0.458 0.630 +3
San Diego WCC 200 0.456 0.568 +7
Georgetown Big East 201 0.454 0.669 +4
Abilene Christian WAC 202 0.454 0.519 -7
Drexel CAA 203 0.454 0.364 +8
Oregon St. Pac 12 204 0.450 0.662 +10
A&M-Corpus Christi Southland 205 0.450 0.318 -14
Boston College ACC 206 0.449 0.607 -8
Navy Patriot 207 0.446 0.349 -4
Grambling SWAC 208 0.437 0.335 +8
Detroit Mercy Horizon 209 0.434 0.422 -16
UNI MVC 210 0.429 0.472 -28
Northern Ky. Horizon 211 0.425 0.408 +9
FIU C-USA 212 0.425 0.538 0
East Carolina AAC 213 0.417 0.463 +9
Ga. Southern Sunbelt 214 0.416 0.453 +10
Texas St. Sunbelt 215 0.415 0.489 +3
George Washington A-10 216 0.413 0.475 +3
Northern Colo. Big Sky 217 0.412 0.524 +23
Weber St. Big Sky 218 0.412 0.493 -8
Queens (NC) A-Sun 219 0.404 0.361 -10
Milwaukee Horizon 220 0.399 0.382 -12
North Dakota St. Summit 221 0.393 0.461 +15
SIUE OVC 222 0.392 0.332 -7
Rhode Island A-10 223 0.392 0.513 +6
La Salle A-10 224 0.391 0.480 +13
Portland St. Big Sky 225 0.391 0.506 +3
Wofford Southern 226 0.388 0.448 -1
Minnesota Big 10 227 0.387 0.691 -4
Purdue Fort Wayne Horizon 228 0.385 0.390 -7
Sacramento St. Big Sky 229 0.382 0.484 -12
Murray St. MVC 230 0.382 0.505 -26
Nicholls Southland 231 0.377 0.446 +25
UMBC Am. East 232 0.377 0.339 -2
Southern U. SWAC 233 0.376 0.387 -7
Northern Ariz. Big Sky 234 0.371 0.538 +7
South Carolina SEC 235 0.364 0.632 +12
Delaware CAA 236 0.362 0.429 -3
NIU MAC 237 0.362 0.450 +11
Idaho St. Big Sky 238 0.354 0.451 +5
Jacksonville A-Sun 239 0.353 0.462 -8
Howard MEAC 240 0.350 0.399 -6
California Pac 12 241 0.349 0.698 +11
American Patriot 242 0.349 0.301 -15
Mercer Southern 243 0.349 0.411 -8
Niagara MAAC 244 0.344 0.400 +1
Campbell Big South 245 0.344 0.406 +16
ETSU Southern 246 0.343 0.393 -14
UMES MEAC 247 0.340 0.432 -3
Winthrop Big South 248 0.339 0.448 -6
Fairfield MAAC 249 0.338 0.408 +8
UT Arlington WAC 250 0.338 0.560 +14
Western Caro. Southern 251 0.338 0.411 -5
Georgia St. Sunbelt 252 0.336 0.507 +6
North Florida A-Sun 253 0.333 0.480 +16
UTRGV WAC 254 0.333 0.509 -5
Robert Morris Horizon 255 0.332 0.390 +18
Bellarmine A-Sun 256 0.330 0.499 +9
Idaho Big Sky 257 0.329 0.407 +11
Kansas City Summit 258 0.328 0.453 -8
Army West Point Patriot 259 0.328 0.302 -21
Loyola Chicago A-10 260 0.326 0.491 0
Illinois St. MVC 261 0.325 0.435 -6
Bowling Green MAC 262 0.323 0.415 -8
Oakland Horizon 263 0.322 0.450 +7
North Ala. A-Sun 264 0.322 0.396 +12
Southern Ind. OVC 265 0.321 0.326 -14
Lafayette Patriot 266 0.320 0.393 +6
Southeast Mo. St. OVC 267 0.319 0.361 -28
UT Martin OVC 268 0.316 0.313 +6
USC Upstate Big South 269 0.316 0.413 +14
Alcorn SWAC 270 0.312 0.400 -17
Prairie View SWAC 271 0.310 0.379 +8
Western Ill. Summit 272 0.309 0.397 -13
Jacksonville St. A-Sun 273 0.307 0.464 +2
ULM Sunbelt 274 0.306 0.512 +4
Maine Am. East 275 0.304 0.389 -13
Southeastern La. Southland 276 0.301 0.381 -10
Morehead St. OVC 277 0.297 0.383 +3
Dartmouth Ivy 278 0.296 0.448 +14
Tulsa AAC 279 0.291 0.609 -16
Charleston So. Big South 280 0.289 0.424 -13
UC San Diego Big West 281 0.288 0.493 +8
Chicago St. Independent 282 0.287 0.406 -5
Canisius MAAC 283 0.286 0.451 +12
Valparaiso MVC 284 0.286 0.441 +1
Coastal Carolina Sunbelt 285 0.284 0.479 -1
New Hampshire Am. East 286 0.283 0.337 -4
North Dakota Summit 287 0.281 0.435 +11
Tennessee St. OVC 288 0.280 0.280 +16
Boston U. Patriot 289 0.278 0.342 +4
UIC MVC 290 0.277 0.433 -2
Morgan St. MEAC 291 0.274 0.394 -5
Denver Summit 292 0.272 0.370 -11
Lehigh Patriot 293 0.270 0.355 -22
Eastern Mich. MAC 294 0.269 0.467 +9
Mount St. Mary’s MAAC 295 0.269 0.386 -4
CSU Bakersfield Big West 296 0.265 0.482 +9
N.C. A&T Big South 297 0.262 0.446 -10
Tennessee Tech OVC 298 0.261 0.380 -2
Tex. A&M-Commerce Southland 299 0.260 0.331 +2
Miami (OH) MAC 300 0.258 0.464 -1
Northeastern CAA 301 0.257 0.389 -7
Western Mich. MAC 302 0.255 0.466 -12
Louisville ACC 303 0.251 0.634 +7
Omaha Summit 304 0.248 0.509 -2
Bucknell Patriot 305 0.248 0.328 -8
Cal Poly Big West 306 0.247 0.490 -6
High Point Big South 307 0.244 0.403 +2
UTSA C-USA 308 0.244 0.541 -1
Manhattan MAAC 309 0.238 0.365 +7
Central Mich. MAC 310 0.238 0.442 +4
South Dakota Summit 311 0.235 0.445 +1
Wagner NEC 312 0.233 0.227 -6
Arkansas St. Sunbelt 313 0.232 0.427 +4
CSUN Big West 314 0.231 0.480 +7
Jackson St. SWAC 315 0.229 0.417 -2
Binghamton Am. East 316 0.228 0.352 +12
Ark.-Pine Bluff SWAC 317 0.226 0.411 -9
William & Mary CAA 318 0.221 0.440 -3
Marist MAAC 319 0.220 0.340 +1
Texas Southern SWAC 320 0.218 0.448 -2
NJIT Am. East 321 0.218 0.359 +9
The Citadel Southern 322 0.217 0.411 0
Saint Peter’s MAAC 323 0.216 0.346 -4
Elon CAA 324 0.215 0.422 +7
Austin Peay A-Sun 325 0.214 0.463 -14
Central Ark. A-Sun 326 0.211 0.441 -1
Little Rock OVC 327 0.210 0.342 -3
Alabama A&M SWAC 328 0.209 0.358 -2
Fairleigh Dickinson NEC 329 0.207 0.226 -6
Sacred Heart NEC 330 0.204 0.229 -1
McNeese Southland 331 0.204 0.437 -4
Coppin St. MEAC 332 0.198 0.454 +1
Stonehill NEC 333 0.194 0.288 -1
Central Conn. St. NEC 334 0.191 0.265 +4
Eastern Ill. OVC 335 0.187 0.356 +8
Presbyterian Big South 336 0.186 0.398 0
Holy Cross Patriot 337 0.184 0.352 -2
Loyola Maryland Patriot 338 0.180 0.356 +7
South Carolina St. MEAC 339 0.176 0.436 +5
Lindenwood OVC 340 0.176 0.371 +1
Stony Brook CAA 341 0.175 0.381 -4
Merrimack NEC 342 0.173 0.317 +6
Saint Francis (PA) NEC 343 0.172 0.286 -4
Alabama St. SWAC 344 0.164 0.377 +9
Evansville MVC 345 0.162 0.477 +6
UIW Southland 346 0.162 0.301 -12
Hampton CAA 347 0.162 0.409 +2
VMI Southern 348 0.160 0.425 -6
Houston Christian Southland 349 0.157 0.376 +1
Columbia Ivy 350 0.155 0.451 -3
UAlbany Am. East 351 0.153 0.404 -11
Bethune-Cookman SWAC 352 0.150 0.338 -6
Delaware St. MEAC 353 0.147 0.423 +2
Lamar University Southland 354 0.136 0.359 +2
New Orleans Southland 355 0.132 0.360 -3
Monmouth CAA 356 0.120 0.514 -2
St. Francis Brooklyn NEC 357 0.115 0.211 +1
Mississippi Val. SWAC 358 0.111 0.434 -1
Florida A&M SWAC 359 0.094 0.418 0
IUPUI Horizon 360 0.085 0.357 0
Green Bay Horizon 361 0.078 0.416 0
LIU NEC 362 0.056 0.340 0
Hartford Independent 363 0.054 0.290 0