This week there are more changes than usual to the rankings, because for the first time recency has been incorporated into the model. More recent games are weighted more heavily than prior games. While the effect of this change is relatively small, it makes a difference at the margins. UConn, for example, falls from #5 to #8, because their play was much stronger early in the season than it has been recently. Southern California, meanwhile, is one of the biggest gainers in the new rankings thanks to two dominant wins on the road against Colorado and Utah.

Team Conference Ranking Expected Winning Percentage vs. Average Opponent Change from Last Week Strength of Schedule Schedule Rank
Houston AAC 1 0.950 0 0.604 97
Alabama SEC 2 0.936 0 0.748 8
UCLA Pac 12 3 0.936 +1 0.700 36
Tennessee SEC 4 0.935 -1 0.694 43
Kansas Big 12 5 0.909 +2 0.789 1
Purdue Big 10 6 0.906 0 0.706 33
Saint Mary’s (CA) WCC 7 0.905 +1 0.673 58
UConn Big East 8 0.905 -3 0.670 60
Texas Big 12 9 0.895 +1 0.751 7
Arizona Pac 12 10 0.890 -1 0.694 42
Gonzaga WCC 11 0.890 +2 0.706 32
Baylor Big 12 12 0.887 -1 0.769 4
Arkansas SEC 13 0.880 +3 0.721 18
Creighton Big East 14 0.874 -2 0.735 12
Kansas St. Big 12 15 0.867 +6 0.731 13
San Diego St. MWC 16 0.867 +7 0.717 21
Indiana Big 10 17 0.866 +1 0.720 19
Marquette Big East 18 0.865 -1 0.682 49
TCU Big 12 19 0.865 +1 0.701 34
Maryland Big 10 20 0.862 +4 0.693 44
Rutgers Big 10 21 0.858 -6 0.681 50
Iowa St. Big 12 22 0.854 -8 0.740 10
Kentucky SEC 23 0.853 +9 0.707 29
West Virginia Big 12 24 0.850 +3 0.762 5
Xavier Big East 25 0.847 +3 0.712 25
Texas A&M SEC 26 0.846 +4 0.664 63
Illinois Big 10 27 0.845 -8 0.674 57
Southern California Pac 12 28 0.838 +19 0.691 47
Michigan St. Big 10 29 0.838 +4 0.776 3
Boise St. MWC 30 0.837 -5 0.644 75
Fla. Atlantic C-USA 31 0.834 +8 0.533 128
Auburn SEC 32 0.832 -10 0.706 31
Northwestern Big 10 33 0.828 -4 0.712 26
Providence Big East 34 0.823 +4 0.616 90
Mississippi St. SEC 35 0.820 0 0.676 55
Utah St. MWC 36 0.817 +1 0.669 62
Duke ACC 37 0.817 -1 0.647 73
Nevada MWC 38 0.816 +3 0.685 48
Michigan Big 10 39 0.814 +15 0.718 20
Iowa Big 10 40 0.813 -6 0.715 23
Oklahoma St. Big 12 41 0.813 -10 0.759 6
Virginia ACC 42 0.811 -16 0.636 78
Texas Tech Big 12 43 0.810 -1 0.708 28
Oregon Pac 12 44 0.807 -4 0.747 9
Memphis AAC 45 0.799 -1 0.654 70
North Carolina ACC 46 0.798 0 0.692 45
Liberty A-Sun 47 0.795 +8 0.465 189
New Mexico MWC 48 0.792 +3 0.656 68
Miami (FL) ACC 49 0.789 +1 0.604 96
Penn St. Big 10 50 0.788 +7 0.700 37
Utah Pac 12 51 0.783 -6 0.663 64
NC State ACC 52 0.783 -9 0.604 95
Ohio St. Big 10 53 0.783 -5 0.725 15
Colorado Pac 12 54 0.780 -5 0.709 27
North Texas C-USA 55 0.778 -2 0.559 112
Oklahoma Big 12 56 0.777 +2 0.780 2
Washington St. Pac 12 57 0.775 +2 0.715 24
Missouri SEC 58 0.775 +9 0.676 54
UAB C-USA 59 0.772 +10 0.527 131
Cincinnati AAC 60 0.771 +3 0.615 91
Florida SEC 61 0.771 -9 0.722 16
Oral Roberts Summit 62 0.770 -2 0.441 217
Arizona St. Pac 12 63 0.769 +2 0.680 53
UCF AAC 64 0.767 -8 0.629 84
Pittsburgh ACC 65 0.766 +1 0.582 103
Bradley MVC 66 0.765 +4 0.482 172
Wisconsin Big 10 67 0.764 +1 0.736 11
Sam Houston WAC 68 0.763 -6 0.538 126
VCU A-10 69 0.760 +8 0.528 130
Clemson ACC 70 0.757 +15 0.558 115
Yale Ivy 71 0.755 +1 0.436 225
Dayton A-10 72 0.755 -1 0.520 135
Villanova Big East 73 0.755 +3 0.694 40
Col. of Charleston CAA 74 0.751 0 0.381 293
BYU WCC 75 0.749 +5 0.651 72
Seton Hall Big East 76 0.746 -15 0.700 38
Drake MVC 77 0.740 +4 0.471 181
Iona MAAC 78 0.740 -3 0.423 237
Kent St. MAC 79 0.737 -15 0.467 188
Santa Clara WCC 80 0.731 +3 0.643 77
Vanderbilt SEC 81 0.723 +5 0.716 22
Marshall Sunbelt 82 0.723 -3 0.445 208
Virginia Tech ACC 83 0.720 -10 0.633 82
Wake Forest ACC 84 0.708 0 0.624 87
UNLV MWC 85 0.707 -3 0.636 79
Stanford Pac 12 86 0.705 +3 0.681 52
Utah Valley WAC 87 0.704 -9 0.544 124
Tulane AAC 88 0.692 -1 0.566 109
Nebraska Big 10 89 0.684 +2 0.731 14
Hofstra CAA 90 0.678 +9 0.423 238
Furman Southern 91 0.674 +6 0.416 244
Toledo MAC 92 0.673 +19 0.431 230
Indiana St. MVC 93 0.672 0 0.404 260
St. John’s (NY) Big East 94 0.667 0 0.636 80
James Madison Sunbelt 95 0.667 -5 0.446 207
Washington Pac 12 96 0.660 0 0.701 35
Southern Miss. Sunbelt 97 0.660 -5 0.456 197
Akron MAC 98 0.658 -3 0.472 179
Southern Utah WAC 99 0.656 +3 0.578 105
Charlotte C-USA 100 0.652 +3 0.507 140
San Jose St. MWC 101 0.648 +5 0.643 76
Colorado St. MWC 102 0.644 -1 0.662 65
UC Irvine Big West 103 0.642 -15 0.492 160
Duquesne A-10 104 0.640 +3 0.505 144
Wichita St. AAC 105 0.640 +7 0.583 102
LMU (CA) WCC 106 0.638 -1 0.625 86
Saint Louis A-10 107 0.635 -3 0.562 110
San Francisco WCC 108 0.635 -10 0.586 101
Ole Miss SEC 109 0.632 -1 0.691 46
Louisiana Sunbelt 110 0.631 -1 0.482 170
South Alabama Sunbelt 111 0.630 +7 0.486 166
Middle Tenn. C-USA 112 0.629 +3 0.559 113
Temple AAC 113 0.628 +4 0.627 85
UNC Greensboro Southern 114 0.626 +6 0.445 209
Syracuse ACC 115 0.624 -15 0.586 100
SFA WAC 116 0.615 +9 0.500 150
Montana St. Big Sky 117 0.611 -1 0.475 178
Cal St. Fullerton Big West 118 0.605 +13 0.496 153
UC Santa Barbara Big West 119 0.602 -6 0.430 232
Butler Big East 120 0.601 -10 0.695 39
Eastern Wash. Big Sky 121 0.601 0 0.451 203
Belmont MVC 122 0.596 +2 0.463 191
Grand Canyon WAC 123 0.589 -9 0.547 120
Southern Ill. MVC 124 0.587 +3 0.455 198
Hawaii Big West 125 0.584 -2 0.454 199
Princeton Ivy 126 0.584 -4 0.414 245
Colgate Patriot 127 0.582 -1 0.332 334
Vermont Am. East 128 0.580 +5 0.439 221
Youngstown St. Horizon 129 0.579 -10 0.330 335
Troy Sunbelt 130 0.577 -1 0.482 171
Seattle U WAC 131 0.570 +6 0.538 125
Samford Southern 132 0.568 -4 0.401 266
South Fla. AAC 133 0.567 +6 0.556 116
Kennesaw St. A-Sun 134 0.564 +17 0.447 205
Davidson A-10 135 0.562 +11 0.545 123
Air Force MWC 136 0.557 +2 0.568 108
UC Riverside Big West 137 0.556 +7 0.502 148
George Mason A-10 138 0.551 +9 0.502 149
UMass Lowell Am. East 139 0.550 +14 0.272 356
Fresno St. MWC 140 0.550 +9 0.656 67
LSU SEC 141 0.549 -5 0.681 51
Penn Ivy 142 0.549 +3 0.459 194
Cornell Ivy 143 0.545 -8 0.434 226
DePaul Big East 144 0.539 +6 0.694 41
UNC Asheville Big South 145 0.538 +22 0.395 276
Old Dominion Sunbelt 146 0.536 +16 0.505 143
UC Davis Big West 147 0.536 -5 0.446 206
Missouri St. MVC 148 0.536 +9 0.507 141
Louisiana Tech C-USA 149 0.535 -17 0.560 111
Ohio MAC 150 0.534 -16 0.442 215
Fordham A-10 151 0.532 -10 0.421 241
Wyoming MWC 152 0.528 -4 0.662 66
Long Beach St. Big West 153 0.528 -13 0.517 136
Towson CAA 154 0.527 +9 0.368 307
Georgia SEC 155 0.524 -25 0.634 81
Longwood Big South 156 0.522 0 0.349 323
Portland WCC 157 0.521 -5 0.623 88
Tarleton St. WAC 158 0.520 +15 0.579 104
South Dakota St. Summit 159 0.520 +10 0.487 165
Ball St. MAC 160 0.520 -6 0.411 251
Montana Big Sky 161 0.517 -1 0.493 157
California Baptist WAC 162 0.515 -19 0.494 155
Western Ky. C-USA 163 0.512 +1 0.526 132
Harvard Ivy 164 0.511 -6 0.458 195
Richmond A-10 165 0.506 -6 0.502 147
Pepperdine WCC 166 0.505 -11 0.645 74
Utah Tech WAC 167 0.502 +3 0.549 119
SMU AAC 168 0.497 +7 0.630 83
N.C. Central MEAC 169 0.496 +7 0.396 273
Norfolk St. MEAC 170 0.496 -5 0.361 314
Lipscomb A-Sun 171 0.496 +24 0.411 249
Stetson A-Sun 172 0.495 0 0.454 200
Notre Dame ACC 173 0.495 +1 0.596 99
Rice C-USA 174 0.494 -13 0.545 122
Boston College ACC 175 0.491 +24 0.612 92
Northern Ky. Horizon 176 0.485 +24 0.410 253
App State Sunbelt 177 0.485 +21 0.492 161
New Mexico St. WAC 178 0.484 -10 0.603 98
UTEP C-USA 179 0.481 -1 0.572 107
Pacific WCC 180 0.481 -1 0.558 114
Wright St. Horizon 181 0.477 +11 0.362 312
Radford Big South 182 0.474 -11 0.400 270
Navy Patriot 183 0.474 +18 0.342 330
Georgia Tech ACC 184 0.473 +1 0.617 89
Abilene Christian WAC 185 0.472 +8 0.546 121
St. Bonaventure A-10 186 0.469 +3 0.491 162
Quinnipiac MAAC 187 0.468 -21 0.369 302
Brown Ivy 188 0.463 +14 0.417 243
A&M-Corpus Christi Southland 189 0.460 -12 0.320 346
Georgetown Big East 190 0.459 -3 0.669 61
San Diego WCC 191 0.458 -3 0.605 94
Cleveland St. Horizon 192 0.458 -10 0.368 306
Eastern Ky. A-Sun 193 0.457 +3 0.476 177
Ga. Southern Sunbelt 194 0.456 +16 0.469 184
Oregon St. Pac 12 195 0.455 +12 0.675 56
UNCW CAA 196 0.451 -16 0.397 272
FGCU A-Sun 197 0.451 -14 0.445 210
Massachusetts A-10 198 0.451 -17 0.504 146
Weber St. Big Sky 199 0.448 +12 0.489 163
Florida St. ACC 200 0.446 +13 0.652 71
Grambling SWAC 201 0.446 +5 0.328 338
Gardner-Webb Big South 202 0.444 -16 0.407 259
Saint Joseph’s A-10 203 0.442 -13 0.479 176
Drexel CAA 204 0.441 +8 0.360 316
Siena MAAC 205 0.441 -21 0.380 294
Buffalo MAC 206 0.439 -2 0.551 118
St. Thomas (MN) Summit 207 0.439 -16 0.387 288
North Dakota St. Summit 208 0.437 +8 0.468 187
Chattanooga Southern 209 0.437 -15 0.436 224
Bryant Am. East 210 0.432 -13 0.392 280
Detroit Mercy Horizon 211 0.431 -8 0.408 258
East Carolina AAC 212 0.428 +3 0.504 145
Northwestern St. Southland 213 0.426 -5 0.351 319
Rider MAAC 214 0.423 -9 0.369 303
Minnesota Big 10 215 0.417 +7 0.707 30
George Washington A-10 216 0.416 +4 0.468 186
Northern Colo. Big Sky 217 0.415 +2 0.521 134
South Carolina SEC 218 0.414 +10 0.671 59
Queens (NC) A-Sun 219 0.413 -1 0.401 268
FIU C-USA 220 0.411 -6 0.533 127
UNI MVC 221 0.411 -12 0.493 159
Northern Ariz. Big Sky 222 0.404 +2 0.528 129
Texas St. Sunbelt 223 0.401 -6 0.494 154
La Salle A-10 224 0.394 -3 0.484 167
Sacramento St. Big Sky 225 0.390 +2 0.493 158
Wofford Southern 226 0.385 -1 0.425 233
UMES MEAC 227 0.384 +23 0.409 254
North Florida A-Sun 228 0.382 +20 0.469 185
UT Arlington WAC 229 0.382 +3 0.574 106
Portland St. Big Sky 230 0.379 -4 0.507 142
Campbell Big South 231 0.375 +4 0.393 278
NIU MAC 232 0.374 +7 0.442 214
Howard MEAC 233 0.373 +1 0.391 282
Mercer Southern 234 0.370 +15 0.411 250
Robert Morris Horizon 235 0.369 +10 0.368 308
Idaho St. Big Sky 236 0.369 +11 0.444 211
ETSU Southern 237 0.369 +7 0.404 262
UTRGV WAC 238 0.368 +5 0.522 133
Purdue Fort Wayne Horizon 239 0.368 -9 0.381 291
Jacksonville St. A-Sun 240 0.367 +33 0.464 190
Winthrop Big South 241 0.367 -4 0.431 229
Murray St. MVC 242 0.366 -19 0.480 174
Delaware CAA 243 0.363 -3 0.403 264
Rhode Island A-10 244 0.359 -13 0.516 137
Milwaukee Horizon 245 0.358 -9 0.394 277
Morehead St. OVC 246 0.348 +24 0.362 311
SIUE OVC 247 0.346 -14 0.326 341
Jacksonville A-Sun 248 0.345 -10 0.456 196
Western Caro. Southern 249 0.345 +2 0.400 269
North Ala. A-Sun 250 0.345 -9 0.404 263
UMBC Am. East 251 0.340 -5 0.330 336
Nicholls Southland 252 0.338 -23 0.401 267
Army West Point Patriot 253 0.337 -1 0.294 352
USC Upstate Big South 254 0.333 +13 0.408 257
Loyola Chicago A-10 255 0.329 -1 0.511 138
UC San Diego Big West 256 0.328 +20 0.498 152
Western Ill. Summit 257 0.324 +15 0.395 275
Southern U. SWAC 258 0.323 -16 0.374 298
Southern Ind. OVC 259 0.321 +3 0.321 345
California Pac 12 260 0.319 -1 0.721 17
Southeastern La. Southland 261 0.317 +4 0.363 310
Canisius MAAC 262 0.317 +15 0.421 240
Alcorn SWAC 263 0.317 -5 0.379 295
Fairfield MAAC 264 0.316 -11 0.381 292
Niagara MAAC 265 0.315 -8 0.371 300
UT Martin OVC 266 0.315 -11 0.317 348
North Dakota Summit 267 0.314 -1 0.437 222
Illinois St. MVC 268 0.313 -5 0.437 223
Prairie View SWAC 269 0.311 -9 0.361 315
Bellarmine A-Sun 270 0.311 +1 0.483 169
Valparaiso MVC 271 0.310 +9 0.452 202
Southeast Mo. St. OVC 272 0.308 -11 0.349 322
Bowling Green MAC 273 0.307 -9 0.425 234
Louisville ACC 274 0.307 +11 0.655 69
Dartmouth Ivy 275 0.302 +8 0.440 219
Miami (OH) MAC 276 0.301 +21 0.459 193
Chicago St. Independent 277 0.300 +2 0.386 289
Oakland Horizon 278 0.298 +4 0.433 227
Tennessee St. OVC 279 0.294 +5 0.291 354
Idaho Big Sky 280 0.294 -11 0.413 246
Coastal Carolina Sunbelt 281 0.288 0 0.479 175
Lafayette Patriot 282 0.288 -7 0.376 297
Georgia St. Sunbelt 283 0.287 -27 0.498 151
Denver Summit 284 0.286 +2 0.368 305
Boston U. Patriot 285 0.286 +2 0.323 343
Maine Am. East 286 0.282 -8 0.367 309
Lehigh Patriot 287 0.281 +9 0.342 329
ULM Sunbelt 288 0.280 +1 0.510 139
UTSA C-USA 289 0.280 +1 0.555 117
Tennessee Tech OVC 290 0.276 +13 0.361 313
Charleston So. Big South 291 0.275 +3 0.409 255
UIC MVC 292 0.273 -1 0.431 231
CSU Bakersfield Big West 293 0.273 -5 0.470 183
Mount St. Mary’s MAAC 294 0.272 -1 0.391 283
American Patriot 295 0.270 -27 0.296 351
Eastern Mich. MAC 296 0.266 +6 0.483 168
South Dakota Summit 297 0.262 +21 0.440 220
High Point Big South 298 0.258 +1 0.389 285
Arkansas St. Sunbelt 299 0.257 +12 0.432 228
Tex. A&M-Commerce Southland 300 0.256 +8 0.324 342
Western Mich. MAC 301 0.255 -6 0.480 173
New Hampshire Am. East 302 0.251 -10 0.347 325
Binghamton Am. East 303 0.247 +11 0.351 320
Manhattan MAAC 304 0.245 -3 0.370 301
Marist MAAC 305 0.245 +15 0.327 339
Kansas City Summit 306 0.245 -32 0.442 213
Texas Southern SWAC 307 0.243 -2 0.412 248
Morgan St. MEAC 308 0.242 -1 0.373 299
Jackson St. SWAC 309 0.241 +1 0.402 265
Tulsa AAC 310 0.240 -12 0.606 93
Bucknell Patriot 311 0.238 -7 0.315 349
Alabama A&M SWAC 312 0.236 -3 0.323 344
N.C. A&T Big South 313 0.232 -7 0.413 247
Cal Poly Big West 314 0.231 +1 0.494 156
Little Rock OVC 315 0.231 +10 0.335 333
Merrimack NEC 316 0.228 +18 0.274 355
CSUN Big West 317 0.225 0 0.471 182
Omaha Summit 318 0.224 -5 0.489 164
The Citadel Southern 319 0.219 -3 0.422 239
Northeastern CAA 320 0.216 -20 0.391 284
Wagner NEC 321 0.216 +7 0.216 360
William & Mary CAA 322 0.215 0 0.392 279
Ark.-Pine Bluff SWAC 323 0.212 -4 0.382 290
Fairleigh Dickinson NEC 324 0.211 -1 0.213 362
Central Mich. MAC 325 0.211 -13 0.442 216
Saint Peter’s MAAC 326 0.207 +3 0.353 318
Loyola Maryland Patriot 327 0.205 +14 0.342 331
NJIT Am. East 328 0.203 -1 0.350 321
Austin Peay A-Sun 329 0.198 -8 0.461 192
Elon CAA 330 0.198 -4 0.399 271
McNeese Southland 331 0.190 +1 0.404 261
Central Ark. A-Sun 332 0.188 -8 0.441 218
Stonehill NEC 333 0.183 -3 0.267 357
South Carolina St. MEAC 334 0.183 +2 0.425 236
Sacred Heart NEC 335 0.181 -4 0.216 361
Eastern Ill. OVC 336 0.178 -1 0.344 327
Saint Francis (PA) NEC 337 0.176 +5 0.252 358
UIW Southland 338 0.176 +5 0.306 350
Lindenwood OVC 339 0.175 +5 0.353 317
Stony Brook CAA 340 0.175 -3 0.389 286
New Orleans Southland 341 0.174 +8 0.348 324
Central Conn. St. NEC 342 0.171 -9 0.248 359
Hampton CAA 343 0.171 +2 0.391 281
Coppin St. MEAC 344 0.170 -6 0.453 201
UAlbany Am. East 345 0.169 +1 0.378 296
Houston Christian Southland 346 0.169 +1 0.347 326
Presbyterian Big South 347 0.168 -7 0.389 287
Holy Cross Patriot 348 0.160 -9 0.339 332
Columbia Ivy 349 0.155 +2 0.443 212
Alabama St. SWAC 350 0.147 -2 0.343 328
Evansville MVC 351 0.143 -1 0.472 180
Delaware St. MEAC 352 0.143 +2 0.410 252
VMI Southern 353 0.138 -1 0.425 235
Bethune-Cookman SWAC 354 0.135 +2 0.326 340
Mississippi Val. SWAC 355 0.126 +2 0.408 256
Monmouth CAA 356 0.126 -1 0.450 204
Lamar University Southland 357 0.124 -4 0.328 337
Florida A&M SWAC 358 0.119 +1 0.396 274
St. Francis Brooklyn NEC 359 0.114 -1 0.207 363
IUPUI Horizon 360 0.109 0 0.369 304
Green Bay Horizon 361 0.077 0 0.420 242
Hartford Independent 362 0.054 +1 0.294 353
LIU NEC 363 0.051 -1 0.317 347