Data includes all division 1 games through Sunday, 3/24/24. My model estimates team strength by using Pythagorean expectation, adjusting for strength of schedule using the log5 method. The score, location,…
Below are my projections for the upcoming NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. The percentages indicate the likelihood that each team advances to the given round. My model is based on my…
Data includes all division 1 games through Wednesday, 3/20/24. My model estimates team strength by using Pythagorean expectation, adjusting for strength of schedule using the log5 method. The score, location,…
Data includes all division 1 games through Sunday, 3/17/24. My model estimates team strength by using Pythagorean expectation, adjusting for strength of schedule using the log5 method. The score, location,…
My model estimates team strength by using Pythagorean expectation, adjusting for strength of schedule using the log5 method. The score, location, opponent, and date of the games are all incorporated…
Data includes all division 1 games through Sunday, 3/3/24. My model estimates team strength by using Pythagorean expectation, adjusting for strength of schedule using the log5 method. The score, location,…
Data includes all division 1 games through Sunday, 2/25/24. My model estimates team strength by using Pythagorean expectation, adjusting for strength of schedule using the log5 method. The score, location,…
Data includes all division 1 games through Sunday, 12/10/23. My model estimates team strength by using Pythagorean expectation, adjusting for strength of schedule using the log5 method. The score, location,…
Team Expected WP% vs Avg Opponent Seed Region Round of 32% Sweet 16% Elite 8% Final Four% Champ Game% Winner% Houston 0.946 1 Midwest 94.6% 67.2% 53.0% 36.4% 25.1% 17.6%…
Rankings include all division 1 games through Sunday, March 12th 2023. Recent games are weighted more heavily. Team Conference Ranking Expected Winning Percentage vs. Average Opponent Change from Last Week…
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